Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,539$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(682 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(56.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,242.7}{1 + 10^{-0.055 (t - 38.0)}}\) (asimptote \(2,242.7\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $107$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(27.5 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(43.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{105.7}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 36.6)}}\) (asimptote \(105.7\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $282$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $65,137$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(4.02 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(29.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{85,688.6}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 95.7)}}\) (asimptote \(85,688.6\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,280$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(815 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(35.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,076.7}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 50.0)}}\) (asimptote \(5,076.7\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $59,857$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,832$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(3.04 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(65.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,379.9}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 32.5)}}\) (asimptote \(8,379.9\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $249$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(83 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(55.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{237.0}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 29.7)}}\) (asimptote \(237.0\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $445$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,191$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(1.49 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(45.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,092.6}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 49.1)}}\) (asimptote \(7,092.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $328$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(83.9 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(42.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{322.8}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 35.7)}}\) (asimptote \(322.8\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $263$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,875$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(3.15 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(49.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,271.9}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 42.5)}}\) (asimptote \(12,271.9\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $604$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(181 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(50.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{585.3}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 33.3)}}\) (asimptote \(585.3\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $563$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,832$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(749 \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(74.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,806.6}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.4)}}\) (asimptote \(1,806.6\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(4.85 \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(77.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $9$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $61,106$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(1.49 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(48.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{58,738.5}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 42.1)}}\) (asimptote \(58,738.5\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,731$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(2.5 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(46.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,464.9}{1 + 10^{-0.053 (t - 38.1)}}\) (asimptote \(9,464.9\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $34,457$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $310,836$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(4.81 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{300,926.7}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 54.2)}}\) (asimptote \(300,926.7\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $43,498$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(8.28 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(40.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,283.9}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 45.5)}}\) (asimptote \(41,283.9\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $265,975$ on 2020-06-26
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $239,961$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(6.49 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(56.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{232,876.9}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 43.1)}}\) (asimptote \(232,876.9\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $34,708$ on 2020-06-26
Best fit exponential: \(8.41 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(51.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{33,645.7}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 45.5)}}\) (asimptote \(33,645.7\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $17,638$ on 2020-06-26
